ICHIMPRINTED CURVATURE HYPOTHESIS
Pre-DR1 prediction registry

Thirteen tests.
One restricted imprint.

P1–P10 test the statistical backbone. P11–P13 test topology-linked node environments. Every card states an observable, an expected pattern and an outcome that counts against ICH.

LOCKED SOURCE · v1.2 · 30 APR 2026
P1Core imprint

Non-evolving residual patterns

EUCLID OBSERVABLE · Tomographic shear and clustering residuals

Any significant large-scale pattern should keep an approximately stable shape across redshift.

COUNTS AGAINST ICH

A residual that clearly changes shape or sign with redshift beyond known systematics or astrophysics.

P2Core imprint

Subdominant amplitude

EUCLID OBSERVABLE · Residual-mode amplitude in shear and clustering fits

The imprint remains a sub-percent to percent-level correction, never a dominant component.

COUNTS AGAINST ICH

A coherent deviation of order 10% required to fit Euclid data.

P3Core imprint

Coherent weak-lensing residual modes

EUCLID OBSERVABLE · E-mode maps, low-ℓ tests and shear–LSS cross-correlations

A low-ℓ coherent residual survives independent pipelines, masks and systematics treatments.

COUNTS AGAINST ICH

A mode that vanishes under minimal pipeline changes or exists in only one analysis choice.

P4Core imprint

Cross-survey persistence

EUCLID OBSERVABLE · Euclid overlap with DES, KiDS, HSC, Planck and others

Direction or structure should reproduce across independent surveys within uncertainty.

COUNTS AGAINST ICH

A strongly Euclid-only or survey-dependent pattern, or one that flips direction in overlaps.

P5Core imprint

No distance–redshift modification

EUCLID OBSERVABLE · BAO distance ladder and geometric clustering probes

Background expansion stays standard within measurement uncertainty.

COUNTS AGAINST ICH

A robust need for modified expansion as the primary explanation of Euclid data.

P6Core imprint

Smooth void lensing

EUCLID OBSERVABLE · Stacked void-lensing profiles and void–galaxy correlations

Any deviation is smooth, gentle and coherent across void definitions and redshift bins.

COUNTS AGAINST ICH

Sharp localized features or strongly redshift-evolving void anomalies.

P7Core imprint

No new localized cluster clumps

EUCLID OBSERVABLE · Cluster weak lensing, richness–mass trends and stacks

Only a small, smooth modulation of reconstructed potentials is permitted.

COUNTS AGAINST ICH

An additional localized mass-like component attributable to the imprint.

P8Core imprint

No small-scale imprint signature

EUCLID OBSERVABLE · High-ℓ shear, small-separation galaxy lensing and substructure

The imprint lives at the largest scales, not in sharp or high-frequency structure.

COUNTS AGAINST ICH

A claimed detection that appears mainly at small scales or requires sharp spatial support.

P9Core imprint

Rare early-growth outliers

EUCLID OBSERVABLE · High-z abundance and field-to-field variance

Rare regions may show mildly accelerated growth; the effect must not be sky-wide.

COUNTS AGAINST ICH

A uniform excess requiring a global growth change or strongly time-evolving imprint physics.

P10Core imprint

Faint, precision-compatible anisotropy

EUCLID OBSERVABLE · Hemispherical asymmetry and preferred-axis searches

Any preferred direction is weak and compatible with existing isotropy constraints.

COUNTS AGAINST ICH

Strong anisotropy, anisotropic expansion or a signal that grows strongly with cosmic time.

P11Node environment

The Radiant Phase

EUCLID OBSERVABLE · Euclid-defined massive nodes × independent extreme-quasar/AGN catalogs

After standard controls, massive nodes retain an enhanced extreme-luminosity or black-hole-mass tail.

COUNTS AGAINST ICH

No residual node enhancement after controlling for redshift, halo and host mass, density, duty cycle, obscuration and selection.

P12Node environment

The Veiled Phase and Dark Nodes

EUCLID OBSERVABLE · Node topology and inferred mass × luminosity, quiescent nuclei and low-accretion tracers

A population of massive but underluminous node environments remains after standard controls.

COUNTS AGAINST ICH

Candidates resolve into low-mass true voids, ordinary faint systems or show no node-like topology and no excess faded-remnant channel.

P13Node environment

The Baryonic Trace

EUCLID OBSERVABLE · Massive nodes and filaments × gas, feedback, SZ, X-ray, radio, H I and WHIM tracers

Node-linked environments retain residual feeding, heating, depletion, expulsion, inflow or redistribution signatures.

COUNTS AGAINST ICH

No residual topology-linked enhancement after standard density, halo, merger, feedback, gas-physics and selection controls.

Cross-prediction discipline

Thirteen predictions are not thirteen rescue routes.

Surviving signals must remain part of the same narrow class: weak, smooth, ultra-large-scale, non-localized, non-dynamical and background-preserving. A collection of unrelated anomalies does not support ICH.